CNN’s chief knowledge analyst Harry Enten declared Tuesday that he’s “actually, actually stunned” by the unpopularity of Donald Trump’s “big, beautiful bill” as Senate Republicans look to pass it earlier than the president’s Fourth of July deadline.
Enten, in a section with CNN’s Sara Sidner, turned to the invoice’s “underwater” internet favorable ranking (% in favor minus % not in favor), which sits at -29 factors and -26 factors in two separate polls.
“Oh my God! You want Greg Louganis to get that far underwater,” mentioned Enten, referring to the Olympic gold medal-winning diver.
He famous that the common internet favorable ranking amongst independents is a fair decrease determine (-41 factors).
“You hardly ever ever see items of laws or proposed items of laws as unpopular as this,” he mentioned.
Enten pointed to an combination of polls displaying a median of 23% of Republicans held an unfavorable view of Trump’s invoice, a determine that greater than doubles that of the president’s unfavorable ranking with the GOP (9%).
“Abruptly you’re taking an enormous chunk of that MAGA base, of that Republican base, that has turned in opposition to this invoice,” he mentioned. “It’s not just Elon Musk, it’s not just Ron Johnson, the Senate Republican from Wisconsin. It’s a giant chunk of the Republican base.”
Enten mentioned the invoice’s poor efficiency amongst Republicans is uncommon amongst “something” backed by Trump.
He went on to notice the online favorable ranking of Trump’s 2017 tax cuts (-17 factors) previous to the 2018 midterms when Republicans misplaced the Home.
Trump’s invoice — which handed within the Home final month and looks to include deeper Medicaid cuts beneath proposals by Senate Republicans — has a internet favorable ranking of -28 factors, per Enten’s combination.
“So, if that is the ‘huge, stunning invoice,’ it might be a ‘huge, stunning invoice’ for Democrats if it passes as a result of they’ll have a giant, stunning evening come midterm evening of 2026,” he predicted.
