The return of Donald Trump as United States president has sparked new safety measures alongside the Canada-U.S. border.
After Trump threatened to slap tariffs on Canadian imports if irregular migration and unlawful medicine weren’t curtailed, Canadian federal and provincial governments pledged new border enforcement resources. Trump may still go ahead along with his tariff threats regardless of a reprieve.
Analysis exhibits that tighter border policies don’t deter migration. Policing borders pushes migrants into more remote and dangerous crossing points, and difficult crossings lead migrants to rely more heavily on human smuggling operations. One consequence of heightened border safety is clearly an increase in human suffering and death.
THE CANADIAN PRESS/Ryan Remiorz
Our work documenting deaths on the Canada-U.S. border exhibits that irregular crossings have taken the lives of not less than 38 individuals. The precise variety of migrant fatalities is probably going a lot greater.
We’re involved that extra border safety measures will result in more danger and death for migrants attempting to cross between the two countries. Latest incidents lend weight to those considerations: one migrant died in a car chase with RCMP on Feb. 4, whereas one other nine people were arrested as they tried to cross into Canada in dangerous winter conditions on Feb. 3.
Crossing the Canada-U.S. border
Folks from around the globe cross the Canada-U.S. border day by day. Most individuals enter Canada and the US formally via official ports of entry. Nonetheless, some migrants additionally journey throughout the border, in each instructions, with out official permission.
As a result of irregular border crossings are hidden by nature, we are going to by no means understand how many individuals enter Canada or the U.S. unofficially. Companies charged with border safety monitor “encounters” and “apprehensions” within the U.S. and the “interception” of asylum-seekers in Canada. However there isn’t a frequent measurement used to estimate irregular crossing in both nation.
Irregular border crossing instances are affected by coverage modifications in each international locations. Lately, they seem to have been affected by migrants’ perceptions of American immigration policy and changes to the Canada-U.S. Safe Third Country Agreement.
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Demise on the border
Our analysis recognized 15 deaths on the Canada-U.S. border between 2020 and 2023, and one other 23 deaths going again to 1989. Given the dearth of official information, the precise quantity is probably going greater.
We filed access-to-information requests on each side of the border. The RCMP acknowledged only one loss of life in Canada, and the U.S. Customs and Border Safety (CBP) produced no outcomes. As an alternative, we systematically collected media reviews on border deaths and analyzed that information.
Roughly three-quarters of migrants whose deaths had been lined in information reviews had been travelling in the direction of the U.S. Their stays had been primarily recovered on the Canadian aspect of the border.
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Migrants face a variety of risks when crossing the Canada-U.S. border irregularly, however drowning represents the most significant threat, adopted by hypothermia — 23 and 6 of the 38 recorded deaths, respectively.
Three individuals died in encounters with border patrol brokers, with two fatally shot on the American side and one dying in a automotive crash whereas being chased by Canadian brokers.
THE CANADIAN PRESS/Graham Hughes
Invisible deaths
Our requests for official information on border deaths in each the U.S. and Canada got here up empty-handed. After greater than a yr and the conclusion of an unbiased criticism investigation into the RCMP’s lack of response to our Canadian request, we had been supplied with info on one single loss of life. The request filed within the U.S. returned no info.
Researchers in each international locations commonly report frustration with slow processes and a lack of results from such requests.
This expertise led us to consider that border enforcement companies don’t monitor deaths alongside the Canada-U.S. border in both nation. It is a drawback. The general public is left at midnight, whereas potential migrants usually are not supplied with details about the risks of irregular crossings.
It’s significantly odd that American authorities don’t present info on deaths at this border, on condition that deaths alongside the U.S.-Mexico border are tracked and publicly reported.
If there’s been a coverage determination to not monitor deaths on the Canada-U.S. border, it reveals an absence of concern and a willingness to obscure the complete image from the general public. Each the Canadian and American governments want to alter their strategy to documenting border deaths, detailing all recognized instances publicly.

THE CANADIAN PRESS/John Woods
Extra loss of life on the horizon
Trump’s return to the American presidency would possibly result in a rise in irregular migration between Canada and the U.S. The Canadian authorities’s transfer to beef up border safety enforcement, in flip, makes it more likely that migrants will perish after selecting harmful crossing factors.
Even when migrants die amid human smuggling operations, quite a lot of the duty lies with authorities selections.
As Public Safety Canada warned in 2023, tougher border crossings result in elevated criminality in human smuggling. Authorities selections drive individuals away from safer crossing factors and into the affect of legal organizations.
The governments of Canada and the US have an ethical obligation to tell the general public about deaths — and do every part of their energy to stop additional tragedies.
Kira Williams (College of Toronto Scarborough) and Caroline Cordeiro (Johnson Shoyama Graduate College of Public Coverage) contributed to the analysis for this text.