The U.S. Army will celebrate its 250th birthday on Saturday, June 14, 2025, with a parade in Washington, D.C., during which about 6,600 soldiers and heavy items of navy tools will roll by means of the streets. The parade goals to show the Military’s historical past and energy.
“It’s going to be unbelievable,” President Donald Trump recently said. Trump’s 79th birthday additionally happens on June 14.
Regardless of the festivities, nonetheless, the parade will happen amid bleak instances for the U.S. navy, because it experiences a multiyear decline in recruitment numbers. Within the face of a pandemic and a robust civilian job market, the Military, Air Drive and Navy all missed their recruitment goals in 2022 and 2023. In 2022, the Military missed its quota by 25%.
In 2024, the U.S. military met its recruitment goal, which helps the argument that the bump is not due to Trump, as recruitment ranges started to rise once more earlier than his reelection. However in some instances, the U.S. navy has met its recruitment objectives by lowering target numbers.
And as a scholar of terrorism and focused violence, I consider an in depth studying of accessible information on navy recruitment suggests U.S. gun violence could also be largely responsible for the shortage of curiosity in becoming a member of the navy.
Gun violence information
No matter one’s private politics, the info on U.S. gun violence makes for painful studying.
Virtually 47,000 Americans died from gun-related injuries in 2023. In 2022, there have been 51 school shootings during which college students had been injured or killed by weapons. And gun accidents are the leading cause of death for Americans between ages 1 and 19.
Information concerning the perceptions of gun violence is equally staggering, particularly amongst American youth between ages 14 and 30.
4 out of 5 American youth believe gun violence to be an issue, and 25% have endured actual active-shooter lockdowns, in response to information compiled by Everytown for Gun Safety, the place I function a survivor fellow, the Southern Poverty Law Center and American College’s Polarization and Extremism Research and Innovation Lab.
Furthermore, these perceptions have appreciable impacts on youth psychological well being and their sense of security. Research have linked concern over school shootings among adolescents with larger charges of hysteria and trauma-related issues.
As Arne Duncan, who served as President Barack Obama’s secretary of schooling throughout the Sandy Hook tragedy, stated in 2023: “Sadly, what’s now binding younger folks throughout the nation collectively shouldn’t be pleasure of music, or sports activities, or no matter, it’s actually the shared ache of gun violence – and it cuts by means of race and sophistication and geography and economics.”
Nationwide safety menace
Up to now couple of years, polls taken of Generation Z youth, born between 1997 and 2012, recommend psychological well being and mass shootings are among the many most vital political points motivating this band of voters.
Gun violence, in different phrases, is a national security emergency, undermining the U.S. authorities’s means to guard its residents of their colleges, locations of worship and communities.
As former Marine Gen. John Allen wrote in 2019: “People immediately usually tend to expertise gun violence at dwelling than they may in lots of the locations to which I deployed within the title of defending our nation.”
AP Photo/Mariam Zuhaib, File
Rewriting American tradition
Accordingly, gun violence has undercut American patriotism, corroding the U.S. authorities’s mushy energy inside its personal borders. Generation Z, termed by some because the “lockdown generation,” is usually derided as much less patriotic than its predecessors.
Additionally, the belief in American exceptionalism is dropping amongst millennials, born between 1981 and 1996. That notion is mixed with much less confidence in U.S. international engagement and the efficacy of navy options.
American tradition has lengthy inspired military service, with recruits seduced by motion motion pictures and guarantees of heroic returns to the U.S. However American tradition immediately is being rewired into one among struggling, ache and victimhood.
A concern of violence
Gun violence destroys youth tolerance for the violence that defines a profession within the U.S. navy.
Internal U.S. military surveys of young Americans present that “the highest three causes younger folks cite for rejecting navy enlistment are the identical throughout all of the providers: concern of dying, worries about post-traumatic stress dysfunction and leaving family and friends — in that order.”
Generations already struggling a shattered sense of security and place don’t see the navy as a viable choice.
The reasons the U.S. Protection Division provides for dismal recruitment ranges concentrate on the youthful era’s supposed lack of backbone or hatred of America.

Vanessa R. Adame/U.S. Air Force via AP
Republicans, together with Secretary of Protection Pete Hegseth, have blamed alleged “wokeness” for low recruitment ranges.
And the Trump administration’s statements about improving recruitment numbers over the previous a number of months overlook each a late Biden-era surge after a pandemic stoop in addition to the fact that numbers remain depressed attributable to navy providers repeatedly reducing their recruitment objectives.
Very not often are introspective questions publicly debated immediately concerning the goal attractiveness of navy service or the urge for food for violence amongst younger folks. The issue, I consider, shouldn’t be that younger individuals are insufficiently patriotic – it’s that they’ve already been preventing a warfare, every day, for his or her total lives.
In reversing the slide in recruitment, then, the navy may enhance its sensitivity to those vital considerations.
Highlighting the vary of careers throughout the providers that don’t contain front-line fight and bodily hazard may encourage extra reluctant would-be recruits to volunteer.
Psychological well being assist additionally may very well be made an essential element of navy coaching and way of life − not a useful resource just for these bearing the hidden side-effects of life within the ranks. Encouraging these affected by treatable mental health issues to hunt that means in service may additionally increase recruitment numbers.